UK snap General Election June 2017 – surprise surprise?

Yesterday morning, 18 April 2017, on the first day of MPs return to Parliament, our Prime Minister Theresa May theatrically unexpectedly announced from outside Number 10 Downing Street, that she was calling a surprise General Election to be held on the 8th June (so in 7 weeks time when 5 weeks is the minimum allowed).

Now, just about everybody was caught out on that shock news, not least because May has repeatedly and repeatedly and repeatedly, denied that she would be willing to do just that very thing, and that the next General Election would come at the end of the ‘fixed-term’ Parliament – so in the summer of 2020! That decision had been confirmed by Number 10, only 10 days before the parliamentary Easter recess (another bloody holiday for the blighters – February/ Easter/ Whitsun/ Recess/ Summer/ Conference/ November/ Christmas, totalling over 21 weeks in the past year, no less?), as May had previously stated that it was important that the Country “soldiered on in a period of stability until then”, didn’t she?

Now, us casual observers never believed a word of it of course (even if the media political pundits seemingly did?), but even we got it a bit wrong, because we had expected her to go for it AFTER the Local Council Elections on 4th May, when she fully expected to finally TROUNCE Labour and demonstrate that they were a spent force with no future in national politics, don’t you think?

Well, what has apparently dramatically changed things in her thinking, do you think? Simple, the opinion polls silly, eh? At the weekend, the latest polls showed that the Conservatives were gaining substantially even more points ahead over Labour, when they already had been significantly ahead for months (now at probably 20 points in front, so they are so far ahead they are out of sight, aren’t they?). The polls had predicted that the Tories would be able to establish a massive outright Commons majority (some say well over 100 and get close to that achieved by the Tory’s Thatcher in 1983?), which would make it substantially easier to get their legislation through, rather than limping-along with a wafer-thin majority of just 17, when lostes in by-elections could erode even that, eh?

May has got the mettle of so-called Opposition Leader Jeremy Corbyn and regularly crushes him & constantly belittles his leadership at PMQs – and that included the one held just a month ago, when Corbyn embarrassingly gave questionably the single worst performance of any opposition leader in the entire history of PMQs, when dealing NOT with the budget fiasco over National Insurance and the Government’s subsequent forced U-turn on it (that ranks even higher than Neil Kinnock‘s of thirty years ago, when he fouled-up against Margaret Thatcher in 1986 her over (wet) Heseltine’s petulant resignation as Defence secretary from the Cabinet over the Westland affair, didn’t it?).

In her announcement, May claimed that this ‘snap’ election was a sudden, so ‘recent’ decision, but many many people suspect that she had actually planned this yonks ago, and simply was convinced by the latest polls that the time was really ripe, eh?

Moreover, it is the opposition parties of Labour, LibDems, and SNP that have given May exactly the perfect excuse she needed to go to the Country at this specific time, haven’t they?

The Labour Party from the outset wanted to deny the British people an EU Referendum last June, have subsequently refused to accept the people’s choice of BREXIT, falsely claim that the voters didn’t know that it really meant leaving the single market, and have vowed to thwart at the twelfth hour, actually finally waving goodbye to the EU, by voting against the Government’s final agreement.

The LibDems cynically see still opposing BREXIT and latching-on to the substantial numbers of adamant Remainer supporters and BREXIT deniers still out there, as a way of fuelling the party and getting back widespread support (their MPs dropped from a substantial 56 to a miserly 8 two years ago and is now only 9 – but they are being delusional, as their time has long gone, don’t you think?). Their leader unpalatable Tim Farron‘s platform is one for demanding a second EU referendum to overturn the first, but not a third, eh?), so that people should vote for his party as they are the only ones who can stop BREXIT in its tracks (and deny the will of the people in the world’s oldest democracy, eh?).

Then there is the SNP, headed by strident Nicola Sturgeon who is still determined to gain independence for Scotland, despite the fact that her population substantially voted against that course of action – then she bizarrely wants senselessly to hand it over to the EU, eh? She is using BREXIT as the excuse for demanding another independence referendum there, in an attempt to leave the Union, isn’t she?

Furthermore, we shouldn’t forget the ‘unelected’ House of Lords, our second chamber, stuffed with self-serving old buffer liberalists, who have already shown their hand in equally wanting to tie the hands of the Government in negotiating Britain’s exit from the EU.

So the glaring fact is that Messrs Corbyn & Fallon, and Mrs Sturgeon have provided the essential catalyst that May needed to override the constitutional implementation of a fixed 5-year parliament, didn’t they?

May wants to be in a strong position in talks with the EU, so that she can achieve the best possible deal for our leaving. Those other four traitorous groups don’t want that at all, because they calculate that the worse the deal that is achieved by the Government, the more likely they will be able to reject it in the two houses of Parliament and keep the UK in the EU club, don’t they? How utter selfish, undemocratic, and disloyal is that, do you consider?

That is why May is having none of it, doesn’t want EU negotiations dragged-out past 2 years, so is going to the country now, because she believes that she is in a position to acquire a fresh mandate from the voters, and that will give her the increased authority of a ‘directly elected’ Prime Minister, will confirm the people’s desire to fully & properly leave the EU to establish a new hands-off relationship with it, will authorise her to negotiate non watered-down terms of departure, will spook the EU negotiators, will allow her to tell the SNP to get stuffed on their demand for a second independence referendum, wouldn’t you say?

She will of course also use the opportunity to remodel and ditch some of the Conservative and Cameron’s flawed policies, like the hated excessive budget on squandered overseas aid at a time when the Country’s deficit is enormous, as well as reset social opportunities like allowing some more grammar schools. If she has any common sense she will also ditch Chancellor Phillip Hammond who remains a Remainer at the heart of our BREXIT strategy (well she did it with George Osborne who thank goodness won’t be in the Commons after the election, don’t you think?).

We have to remember though that no British election is a ‘done deal’, because this Country is full of fickle, pragmatic. floating and ‘don’t know’, voters, so calling an election is a move fraught with danger. Many of past PMs and Opposition leaders have seriously misjudged the mood of the people to their cost, haven’t they? Yep, like PM Churchill who lost the election to Labour’s Attlee after the War in 1946, like Labour Leader Kinnock who unpredictably and surprisingly failed against Major’s Conservatives in 1992, like PM Heath who unbelievably lost twice to Labour’s Wilson in 1974, like PM Brown who stupidly lost to Tory’s Cameron in 2010, like Labour’s Miliband widely expected to overcome Cameron in 2015 only to get overwhelmed himself.

Fixed-term parliament act 2011 was designed to withdraw the previous right of a PM to solely pick & choose the date of a General Election, which historically enabled them to manipulate matters to suit the timing for party benefit rather than in the nation’s interests. However, May has found a believable (?) reason to bypass that legislation to suit the Tory Party, but first she had to get the House of Commons to agree, doesn’t she? Yes, and in the absence of “a vote of no confidence”, a simple majority in her favour isn’t enough as she needed two-thirds of MPs support, you see?

Now, all that meant that she needed Labour to support her sudden move for an early General Election. Well, Labour supporting that very such idea was madness of course, because you don’t wish for an election when your party is at its lowest ebb (just like turkeys shouldn’t vote for Christmas), should you? Well, nevertheless Corbyn instructed Labour’s MPs to do just that very such thing, and they certainly did in the crucial vote mid-afternoon today – so the election goes ahead. You see his loyal supporters followed his lead, and those that hate him saw it as their ONLY chance of getting rid of him before 2020, and they would rather lose a General Election now than wait to do so in three years time, wouldn’t they? He has shown exactly the same crass leadership and miscomprehension of factual reality, as he has displayed since he became leader. However, despite the inevitable event that he loses badly in both the May & June elections, he will hang-on in there and his cronies and Momentum will simply off-load the blame to the disloyalty of his fellow MPs who have refused to unite behind him in the past 2 years, won’t they?

May gave her usual polished performance at PMQs today, and followed-up that with a sound confident performance when presenting her appeal to the Commons to agree to a General Election on Thursday 8 June – she got much more than the 2/3rds majority she required though as only a baker’s dozen voted against it.

May has calculated that being branded by some as a ‘political opportunist’ and another politician who has gone against her previous words, is a price woth paying to delivering her political legacy on BREXIT and social reform – is she right?

 

[The current Parliament will be dissolved on 3rd May, and then the British people alone will have the onerous task of deciding the future of our nation – choose carefully, eh?]

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